SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
19.54% ( 0.07) | 22.57% ( -0.05) | 57.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( 0.32) | 46.53% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 0.3) | 68.8% ( -0.31) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.15% ( 0.26) | 37.85% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.38% ( 0.25) | 74.62% ( -0.26) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.21% ( 0.1) | 15.79% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( 0.19) | 44.93% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.54% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 10.18% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.88% |
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