SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 7.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.19%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
79.11% ( 0.9) | 13.25% ( -0.43) | 7.63% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.4% ( 0.4) | 31.6% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.9% ( 0.47) | 53.1% ( -0.47) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.7% ( 0.25) | 6.29% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.3% ( 0.7) | 23.7% ( -0.7) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.27% ( -0.83) | 46.73% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.72% ( -0.63) | 82.28% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.14)1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 79.09% | 1-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.87% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.63% |
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