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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Slavutych Arena

Luhansk
1 - 1
Desna

Khomchenovskiy (53')
Mykhaylichenko (9'), Kochergin (65'), Shevchenko (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Budkivskyi (20')
Budkivskyi (1'), Arveladze (30'), Ogirya (37'), Tamm (45+2'), Imerekov (63')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawDesna Chernihiv
42.09%26.4%31.51%
Both teams to score 51.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28%52.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64%74.36%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21%24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64%59.36%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96%31.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65%67.34%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 42.08%
    Desna Chernihiv 31.51%
    Draw 26.39%
Zorya LuhanskDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.51%


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