Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.