Desna
3 - 1
Luhansk

Filippov (57' pen.), Tamm (62'), Budkivskyi (74')
Kalitvintsev (30'), Budkivskyi (49'), Mostovyi (59'), Dombrovskyi (75'), Imerekov (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Favorov (43')
Grechkin (76'), Kochergin (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
35.33%	26.37%	38.29%

Both teams to score 52.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16%

51.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4%

73.59%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2%

63.8%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44%

61.56%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 35.33%

Zorya Luhansk 38.29%

Draw 26.37%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.33%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.29%