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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 27, 2020 at 5pm UK
Arena Lviv

Lviv
1 - 3
Mariupol

Mihoubi (73')
Romanchuk (29'), Mihoubi (74'), Mahmutovic (76'), Shumskyi (89'), Pachtmann (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sikan (13'), Myshnyov (34'), Ocheretko (60')
Muravskyi (50'), Peterman (73')
Chekh (88')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Lviv and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.

Result
FC LvivDrawMariupol
29.48%26.19%44.33%
Both teams to score 51.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31%52.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.33%
FC Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.99%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34%23.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.24%57.76%
Score Analysis
    FC Lviv 29.48%
    Mariupol 44.33%
    Draw 26.19%
FC LvivDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 7.01%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.89%
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.07%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 44.33%


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