SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | FC Lviv | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Minai | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zorya Luhansk | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Metal Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
28.27% ( 0.08) | 25.95% ( 0.03) | 45.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.07) | 52.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.06) | 74.02% ( 0.06) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( 0.03) | 33.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( 0.03) | 69.79% ( -0.04) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.09) | 22.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( -0.12) | 56.53% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.77% |
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