SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
48.16% ( 0.03) | 23.37% ( 0) | 28.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.04) | 41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.04) | 63.39% ( 0.04) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.01) | 17.25% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.43% ( -0.01) | 47.56% ( 0.01) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.04) | 27.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( -0.05) | 62.61% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 4% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.46% |
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