Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.