MX23RW : Friday, July 1 17:57:02
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Dec 3, 2021 at 3pm UK at Donbass Arena
Shakhtar
6 - 1
Lviv
Tete (45' pen.), Pedrinho (55'), Bondarenko (77'), Marlos (84' pen.), Stepanenko (87'), Konoplia (90')
Mudryk (33'), Pedrinho (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ernest (17')
Dovgiy (32')
Mahmutovic (83')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and FC Lviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFC Lviv
57.25%23.34%19.41%
Both teams to score 49.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11%71.89%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8%17.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53%47.47%
FC Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06%39.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41%76.59%
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 57.25%
    FC Lviv 19.41%
    Draw 23.33%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFC Lviv
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.3%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.41%

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Ukrainian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev1613214383541
2Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar1613214183341
3Dnipro-1Dnipro-116111429161334
4Vorskla PoltavaVorskla1694329171231
5Zorya LuhanskLuhansk1592434181629
6Desna ChernihivDesna167361822-424
7FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya156541513223
8Veres166461416-222
9Metalist Kharkiv166191626-1019
10Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka165381122-1118
11Rukh Lviv154471520-516
12FC LvivLviv164481223-1116
13Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets162591736-1911
14Minai161781125-1410
15Inhulets152491126-1510
16MariupolMariupol1621131838-207
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