SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Vorskla Poltava | 14 | 12 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
41.75% ( 0.02) | 25.93% ( -0) | 32.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0) | 50.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( -0) | 72.48% ( 0) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.01) | 24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.02) | 58.24% ( -0.02) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( -0.02) | 29.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( -0.02) | 65.39% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.75% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.32% |
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