Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Lviv win with a probability of 72.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 11.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Lviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Lviv would win this match.
