SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Veres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vorskla Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Zorya Luhansk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Veres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vorskla Poltava | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Zorya Luhansk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
51.55% ( 0.75) | 24.39% ( -0.25) | 24.06% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.61) | 49% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.55) | 71.09% ( -0.55) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( 0.53) | 19% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( 0.88) | 50.55% ( -0.88) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( -0.11) | 34.86% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( -0.11) | 71.6% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.06% |
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