SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
52.82% ( -0.09) | 25.31% ( 0.05) | 21.86% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.17) | 54.72% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( -0.14) | 76.04% ( 0.14) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( -0.11) | 20.73% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% ( -0.16) | 53.35% ( 0.16) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( -0.06) | 40.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( -0.06) | 76.77% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.86% |
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