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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Uman'fermmash

Kovalivka
1 - 3
Dnipro-1

Milko (31' pen.)
Milko (34'), Chornomorets (53'), Bolbat (65')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dovbyk (5' pen., 36', 77')
Babenko (24'), Nazarenko (42')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Dnipro-1.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oleksandriya 4-1 Kovalivka
Saturday, November 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-1 Minai
Sunday, November 6 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Kolos KovalivkaDrawDnipro-1
20.78% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 52.71% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.97% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)80.17% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)44.25% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67% (-0.064 -0.06)80.33% (0.059999999999988 0.06)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.030000000000001 0.03)22.92% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)56.68% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kolos Kovalivka 20.78%
    Dnipro-1 52.71%
    Draw 26.5%
Kolos KovalivkaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 8.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.78%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14%
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 14.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 5.4% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 52.71%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oleksandriya 4-1 Kovalivka
Saturday, November 5 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 2-0 Veres
Monday, October 31 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 1-1 Chornomorets
Monday, October 24 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Kovalivka
Wednesday, October 19 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-0 Inhulets
Friday, October 7 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 2-0 Kovalivka
Friday, September 30 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-1 Minai
Sunday, November 6 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Dnipro-1
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Metal Kharkiv 0-1 Dnipro-1
Sunday, October 23 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-2 Inhulets
Wednesday, October 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League


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