SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
60% ( -0.37) | 22.93% ( 0.15) | 17.07% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.22) | 51.58% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.19) | 73.37% ( 0.19) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( -0.2) | 16.83% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% ( -0.37) | 46.82% ( 0.37) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.32% ( 0.16) | 43.68% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( 0.13) | 79.86% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.07% |
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