SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
57.52% ( -0.12) | 22.99% ( -0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( 0.25) | 48.33% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( 0.23) | 70.47% ( -0.23) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( 0.05) | 16.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( 0.09) | 46.31% ( -0.09) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.29) | 38.93% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( 0.28) | 75.66% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 57.5% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.5% |
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