SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
52.68% ( 0.13) | 24.54% ( -0.08) | 22.78% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( 0.27) | 50.86% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( 0.24) | 72.75% ( -0.24) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.16) | 19.27% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( 0.26) | 51% ( -0.25) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( 0.11) | 37.06% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( 0.11) | 73.85% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 52.68% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.78% |
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