Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
