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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Apr 3, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
4 - 3
Inhulets

Bondarenko (45+3' pen., 46', 60' pen.), Stasyuk (67')
Tankovskiy (72'), Chekh (74'), Myshnyov (86'), Kudryk (87'), Kyryukhantsev (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Plokhotnyuk (52'), Kovalenko (53'), Shevtsov (88' pen.)
Kvasnyi (19'), Bartulovic (24'), Semenko (59'), Balan (64')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Inhulets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawInhulets
32.63%26.91%40.46%
Both teams to score 50.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.55%54.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.19%75.81%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52%67.47%
Inhulets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.59%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 32.63%
    Inhulets 40.46%
    Draw 26.9%
MariupolDrawInhulets
1-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 32.63%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.23%
2-2 @ 4.96%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.95%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 7.29%
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.46%

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