SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chornomorets Odesa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
24.86% ( 0.02) | 23.84% | 51.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.01) | 45.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.01) | 68.25% ( -0.01) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 0.02) | 32.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( 0.02) | 69.04% ( -0.02) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( -0) | 17.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( -0) | 48.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% 2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.86% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.57% Total : 51.29% |
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