Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
