SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Dnipro-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Metalist Kharkiv | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Dynamo Kiev | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
37.82% ( 0.15) | 27.41% ( -0.09) | 34.77% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( 0.34) | 56.05% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.27) | 77.13% ( -0.27) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( 0.25) | 28.67% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( 0.31) | 64.49% ( -0.31) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.13) | 30.54% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.15) | 66.77% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.77% |
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