Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
64.87% ( -0.23)	21% ( 0.13)	14.13% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.09% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.35)

49.06% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

-0.32)

71.14% (

0.32)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.62% (

-0.18)

14.38% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.73% (

-0.36)

42.26% (

0.36)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.83% (

-0.07)

46.17% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.14% (

-0.05)

81.85% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 64.86%

Metalist Kharkiv 14.13%

Draw 21%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 64.86%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.13%