Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minai win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.