Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
