Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.