Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Minai had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metalist Kharkiv in this match.