Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.
