SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
27.94% ( 0.35) | 26.23% ( 0.02) | 45.83% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.41% ( 0.12) | 53.59% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( 0.1) | 75.09% ( -0.1) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0.34) | 34.1% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 0.37) | 70.79% ( -0.36) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( -0.12) | 23.33% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( -0.17) | 57.29% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.83% |
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