SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
60.38% ( -0.02) | 21.36% ( 0.04) | 18.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( -0.18) | 43.19% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( -0.18) | 65.58% ( 0.18) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0.06) | 13.87% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( -0.13) | 41.27% ( 0.13) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.12) | 37.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( -0.12) | 74.09% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 18.25% |
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