SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Minai had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minai | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
26.54% ( 0.21) | 25.66% ( -0.03) | 47.8% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( 0.27) | 52.21% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.23) | 73.92% ( -0.23) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.31) | 34.49% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.79% ( 0.33) | 71.21% ( -0.34) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( 0.03) | 21.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( 0.05) | 55.08% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minai | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.54% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.8% |
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