Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.18%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
14.11% ( 0.08)	20.53% ( 0.15)	65.35% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 47.48% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84% (

-0.48)

47.16% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61% (

-0.45)

69.39% (

0.45)

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97% (

-0.18)

45.02% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

-0.14)

80.95% (

0.14)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0.22)

13.63% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-0.45)

40.79% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

FC Oleksandriya 14.12%

Shakhtar Donetsk 65.34%

Draw 20.53%

FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.12%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.53%	0-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 12.18% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 65.34%