Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 41.47%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
