SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metalist Kharkiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Lviv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
29.45% ( 0.21) | 26.79% | 43.75% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.09) | 55.03% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( 0.07) | 76.3% ( -0.07) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( 0.2) | 33.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( 0.22) | 70.37% ( -0.22) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( -0.07) | 24.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( -0.09) | 59.62% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Lviv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.45% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.76% |
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