Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.