Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
