Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 47%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
