Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
