Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.