Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.