SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
31.2% ( -0.3) | 27.5% ( -0.1) | 41.3% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% ( 0.28) | 57.09% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% ( 0.23) | 77.97% ( -0.22) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( -0.06) | 33.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( -0.07) | 70.14% ( 0.08) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( 0.35) | 27.2% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( 0.45) | 62.61% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.29% |
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