SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
53.84% ( 0.02) | 24.4% ( 0.25) | 21.76% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( -1.31) | 51.33% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( -1.16) | 73.16% ( 1.15) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.49) | 19% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.82) | 50.55% ( 0.82) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( -1.01) | 38.31% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( -0.98) | 75.07% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.82% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.76% |
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