SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Chornomorets Odesa | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Vorskla Poltava | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Veres | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Metalist Kharkiv | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Veres had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Veres win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Veres |
47.36% ( -1.7) | 25.51% ( 0.28) | 27.13% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( -0.12) | 51.22% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -0.1) | 73.05% ( 0.11) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.78) | 21.63% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( -1.22) | 54.75% ( 1.23) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( 1.11) | 33.49% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( 1.19) | 70.12% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.13% |
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