SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Lviv |
57.35% ( 0.08) | 23.74% ( -0.04) | 18.91% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( 0.07) | 52.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( 0.06) | 73.85% ( -0.07) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( 0.06) | 17.98% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.17% ( 0.1) | 48.83% ( -0.1) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.02) | 41.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( -0.01) | 78.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.33% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 18.91% |
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