SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
39.15% ( -0.96) | 27.61% ( -0.03) | 33.24% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.31) | 57.01% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.1% ( 0.25) | 77.91% ( -0.24) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.39) | 28.36% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.5) | 64.1% ( 0.51) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.85) | 32.04% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( 0.95) | 68.51% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.24% |
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