SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
50.7% ( -0.14) | 24.25% ( 0.03) | 25.05% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -0.04) | 47.56% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -0.04) | 69.77% ( 0.04) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.07) | 18.78% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( -0.12) | 50.18% ( 0.12) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( 0.07) | 33.23% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( 0.08) | 69.84% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.05% |
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