SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Minai had a probability of 15.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Minai win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Minai |
65.08% ( -0.06) | 19.56% ( -0.01) | 15.35% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( 0.19) | 40.27% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( 0.2) | 62.65% ( -0.2) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.37% ( 0.04) | 11.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.36% ( 0.09) | 36.64% ( -0.09) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.95% ( 0.21) | 39.04% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.23% ( 0.19) | 75.76% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Minai |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 65.07% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 15.35% |
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