SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
50.65% ( -0.5) | 23.14% ( 0.07) | 26.21% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.03) | 41.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.03) | 64.02% ( -0.03) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( -0.17) | 16.56% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.67% ( -0.3) | 46.33% ( 0.31) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( 0.34) | 29.14% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( 0.42) | 65.07% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.34% Total : 26.21% |
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