SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
58.99% ( 0.3) | 23.01% ( -0.03) | 18% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.29) | 50.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( -0.26) | 72.45% ( 0.26) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.19% ( 0) | 16.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.21% ( 0) | 46.79% ( -0) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.08% ( -0.5) | 41.92% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.63% ( -0.44) | 78.37% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.86% Total : 18% |
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