SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
34.34% ( -0.17) | 28.92% ( 0.14) | 36.74% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.41% ( -0.5) | 61.6% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% ( -0.37) | 81.44% ( 0.37) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.37) | 33.67% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( -0.41) | 70.32% ( 0.41) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.23) | 32.09% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% ( -0.27) | 68.57% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.73% |
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