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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario
CL

Racing
2 - 0
Cerro Largo

Sosa (24'), Veron (79')
Gorocito (65'), Hernandez (86'), Varela (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coronel (63')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Racing de Montevideo and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo
Friday, March 1 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
Racing de MontevideoDrawCerro Largo
38.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.2% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 33.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79% (0.096999999999994 0.1)59.21% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37% (0.074999999999999 0.07)79.63% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.057999999999993 0.06)29.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.07 0.07)65.73% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.057999999999993 0.06)33.28% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.061 0.06)69.9% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Racing de Montevideo 38.71%
    Cerro Largo 33.07%
    Draw 28.2%
Racing de MontevideoDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.88% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Cerro
Thursday, December 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Saturday, December 2 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 Racing
Tuesday, November 28 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Cerro Largo
Friday, March 1 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Fenix
Sunday, February 25 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-2 Penarol
Sunday, February 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Maldonado
Wednesday, December 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, December 3 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Cerro
Thursday, November 30 at 8.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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